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MSNBC.com baseball analyst Ted Robinson gives his take on the hits and misses by players, managers, umpires and owners in Major League Baseball.

Robinson has an extensive background in covering the sport. He called the play-by-play on NBC's Major League Baseball Game of the Week telecasts from 1986-89. Additionally, he has been the lead play-by-play announcer for the Minnesota Twins, the television and radio play-by-play voice of the San Francisco Giants, and a member of the New York Mets broadcast team.



A crowded, wide-open NL MVP race

Posted: Thursday, September 13, 2007 7:56 PM

There are unsung heroes, highly publicized stars, and candidates who defy traditional thinking about the MVP award. It won’t be an easy choice in the NL, but my top six contenders are David Wright of the Mets, Chase Utley of the Phillies, Matt Holliday of the Rockies, Eric Byrnes of the Diamondbacks, and Russell Martin and Takashi Saito of the Dodgers. Let's take a closer look at this group.

 

DAVID WRIGHT: Interesting question -- should more emphasis be placed on a player's full-season body of work or on his work over the second half of the schedule when playoff races take shape and the pressure to win games intensifies?

 

I don‘t believe you can discount the early part of a season when measuring the contribution and value of a player to his team. After all, those games count just as much in the standings. But there is validity to raising one’s game when times are tough and teammates falter. There in lies the story of Wright's season.

 

While until the start of September the Mets pretty much stumbled through the second half, rarely threatened by a weak division, Wright excelled (.355 BA, 12 HR, 45 RBI) since the All-Star break. While he does not lead the league in any individual category, he ranks in the top 10 in seven offensive listings.

 

Jose Reyes was the first half MVP for the Mets and his play sparked the team, but the shortstop has hit just .266 post the All-Star break. When the Mets were swept in Philadelphia in late August, allowing the Phillies brief hope of stealing the division, Wright was the Met who stood strong. Keith Hernandez, my former colleague on Mets' telecasts, told me against the Phillies Wright played as fine a game as he had seen in his 17 years in the major leagues. That’s enough for me.

 

CHASE UTLEY: The opposite scenario to Wright’s. Utley kept the Phillies afloat as they wandered through the first half. Should he be penalized in the MVP voting for the injury that cost him the month of August? Well, he has over 500 plate appearances, just 30 shy of teammate Ryan Howard. By the way, Utley is hitting over .380 since the All-Star break, and he delivered a huge hit against standout closer Billy Wagner in the sweep of the Mets to close out last month.

 

MATT HOLLIDAY: Along with Utley, one the two best hitters in the NL this year. In a Philly showdown Tuesday night, Holliday was drilled after an early homer and responded with a second blast in a later at-bat. That’s MVP material. The most telling batch of numbers produced by Rockies' hitters is road performance stats and Holliday measures up there (.306 BA, 10 HR, 51 RBI). Holliday has kept his team quietly on the fringes of the wild-card race in a season where hope is revived in Denver.

 

ERIC BYRNES: Here’s another player whose MVP candidacy defies tradition, except in the opinion of my friend Mr. Hernandez. Byrnes doesn’t have the gaudiest numbers, although they are solid, and his career best, but his team is in first place.

 

And he has been their best player as well as their leader. On a team known as the “Baby Backs,” Byrnes sets the example for how the game should be played with constant hustle. How can a Justin Upton or Stephen Drew not run out a ball when Byrnes does so EVERY TIME? There are reasons for Arizona’s amazing season and Byrnes is at the top of the list.

 

RUSSELL MARTIN: Tradition says Martin's got the edge since he's proven the rock of the Dodgers. A young stud catcher who has played every day (too much in the opinions of some) and who has been the glue amidst a team blending fading veterans with emerging youth. His average has held steady in the second half, but his run production has tailed, perhaps a function of teams daring other hitters to beat them. Regardless, the Dodgers have no hope without Martin.

 

TAKASHI SAITO: The Dodger also have no hope without Saito. And here is the MVP candidate that defies traditional thinking. But a look at Saito’s numbers (.157 OBA, 0.72 WHIP) -- all compiled in the ninth inning, and how can one not form an argument that he has been the most important player on the Dodgers. I have never understood the mindset that maximizes a closer’s impact during the season and minimizes it in voting for awards and the Hall of Fame. It’s baseball hypocrisy.

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Comments

Glad someone actually mentioned Saito. Although Im a Mets fan, Saito has been arguably the best closer in baseball since the start of 2006. His numbers are dominant to say the least. The only knock against him is that hes 37 years old and wont be a fixture in that Dodgers bullpen for much longer. I find hard that American League fans have no idea who he is while his numbers match up and down with Jonathan Papelbons. Anyone like Saito who starts their career converting 60 of their 66 save oppurtunities is phenomenal.
you seem to have left one name off that list:   Prince Fielder.  and Utley, wasnt he on the DL for a month.   ????????????
No Prince Fielder, huh?  You're an idiot.  Resign, as you are clearly not fit for the occupation you currently hold.  
Excuse me, what kind of a list for MVP, does not include Prince Fielder?  If the Brewers win their division, he should be MVP..Come on, could you have more of a bias for big market teams?  This is relatively embarassing.
I think there is one more Phillies player you need to mention.  Jimmy Rollins.  This guy has done it all for the Phillies this season and his # show it.  35-2B, 17-3B, 27-HR, 82-RBIs, 31SB, .294 AVG, and a .531 slugging percentage with 9 errors at SS and a 986 fielding percentage.  He has been CONSTISTENT all year long.
I don't think I am a homer when I ask where is Prince Fielder in your top 6?  He is the team leader for the Brewers, and has that team 1/2 game out of first in mid September.  A team that has not been to the post season in 20+ years.   He leads the league in HR and Slugging percentage and 3rd in RBI's.  Not sure how he can not be on the list
How can you possibly not include Milwaukee's Prince Fielder in your "Top 6?" Without him, the Brewers would be in a much different situation. His power numbers aside, he also plays a pretty decent 1st base... all in only his 2nd year. I think you missed a more than worthy candidate...
I think the MVP is Russell Martin of the Dodgers...flat out the next great catcher.
Go Byrnes!!!
I think you left out 1 name:   Prince Fielder

He should be the front runner, or at the very least top 3.
The writers should get it right for the first time in a long tome - DAVID WRIGHT is the MVP - if not for the numbers, but the detriment that his play has added to a team that even with it's pitching and injury issues has helped continue to keep this team in first place since May!
NO Prince Fielder? U R AN IDIOT
Hello?? Jimmy Rollins?? Duh!
On The Dbacks, if you look at the stats of Jose ValVerde, he really has been more valuable, considering all the one run games the Dbacks have won. (They lead MLB if I am not mistaken.)
While Byrnes is having a really great year, and I won't at all take away from his incredible hustle and "go get em" attitude, Valverde is a better MVP candidate in my opinion. Plus he is near top in saves this year.
Holliday is the clear choice for NL MVP if stats matter at all in the award- which it does duh.  He leads in hits, doubles, rbi's, and is second in average, fourth in HR and Runs.  Also he has carried the Rockies and they are close to a playoff spot.  I honestly don't know how he can't win it.  Ur an idiot if u think otherwise.  
JIMMY ROLLINS. thank you very much.
No fielder?  wow...he has carried a team that has had HORRIBLE pitching as of late, and they just pulled even with the Cubs again for first in their division.  Even if he doesn't win it, he MUST be in the top 5.
the NL MVP race is already over -- Matt Holliday has wrapped it up with his stellar September.  8 homers in the last 9 games!  Seriously.  On top of that he's 1 or 2 in every major offensive category except stolen bases.

Done, and done!
No Prince Fielder?  I'm never one to rip on a writer for his opinion, but you have to be insane!  Surely this was a MASSIVE oversight on your part.  Let me refresh your memory... #1 in HR's (46), #1 in Slg% (.615), #3 in Ops (1.002), #4 total bases (332), #3 in RBI's (111), #1 in AB's per home run (11.7), and is still hitting .291.  So it's not like he hits a a home run or strikes out.  He is the leader of the team, and the fact that you would not include him in your top 6 is absolutely insane.  I'd love to hear your justification for this...
Jimmy Rollins for MVP.  Reason is that offense and Defense count.  Prince Fielder can only hit.  If he hits over 55 homers than maybe.  David is good but not MVP.  Matt Holiday is def up there with rollins.  Whoever goes farthe is going to grab it.
Rollins all the way
Matt Holliday is surely the most deserving on your list.  I don't know why he doesn't get more credit.  He is an amazing player at home and away.  But because he plays for the Rockies he's been passed over too many times.  David Wright?  He does not lead the NL in anything...not even close to the top in terms of numbers!  Give him the "big heart" award or whatever you want, but reward those players who truly excel everyday on the field.  This isn't little league where everyone gets a trophy.  It goes to the best!  It is interesting that you included Saito - I believe he has been a HUGE difference in the Dodger's game this year.  No Gagne magic yet, but he is dependable and solid.
The 2007 NL MVP is Matt Holliday of Colorado. His numbers are just outstanding - .341 avg, 36 HR, 131 RBIs.  He is the reason why the Rockies are still in the playoff hunt and his numbers are way better than everyone else's
Two words for you:  Prince Fielder...
Obviously you are not an expert in your field.  I guess anybody could do your job...
can you say major market players?  before writing an article like this, should you understand the entire league and the dynamics of each individual player and their impact on their team and division race?  One name, Prince Fielder.  P.S. I am not a homer.
You're missing the top two candidates.
1. Jimmy Rollins, Phillies
Team leader, carried them ALL SEASON LONG through injuries, brilliant defensively, fourth-ever 20-20-20-20 guy.
2. Prince Fielder, Brewers
50 homers qualifies him for huge votes. But defensively, he plays a less important position than J-Roll, and doesn't play it as well. Also, J-Roll's team is in the playoffs.
MVP: Jimmy Rollins. Runner-up: Prince Fielder.
Holliday hit 25 homers at home and 11 on the road. Holliday hit .376 at home and .301 on the road. Holliday had 82 RBI at home and 55 RBI on the road. Holliday is an average to below average corner outfielder and is a surprisingly poor baserunner. Holliday struck out 126 times.

Pujols hit 12 homers at home and 20 on the road. Pujols hit .294 at home and .358 on the road. Pujols had 54 RBI at home and 49 on the road. Pujols is a Gold Glove fielder and a good baserunner. Pujols struck out 58 times.

Increase Pujols's home stats by the same percentage difference that Holliday's home stats were greater than his road stats and you get approximately this line:

70 homers, 125 RBI, .370 BA...and he was INJURED and playing at far less than 100% ALL season...and he had almost 100 fewer AB than Holliday. Maybe Pujols isn't the MVP, but Holliday definitely isn't.

Put differently, if Holliday had played all his games at parks other than Coors his statline would most likely be closer to this:

22 homers, 110 RBI, .301 BA...MVP in the '60s or '70s maybe, but not today.

My apologies, but this is ridiculous. To win the MVP as a corner outfielder in Colorado in any given season you need to hit at least .360 or .370 with 50 or 60 homers and drive in 140 or 150 runs (and Holliday is NO Larry Walker -- .366 BA, 49 HR, 33 SB and a Gold Glove in his MVP season). Fielder, Rollins, Wright and even Pujols are better NL MVP selections. Holliday is an above average hitter...but that's it; he's yet another Ellis Burks, Dante Bichette, Andres Galarraga, Jay Payton, Preston Wilson, Vinnie Castilla, or Todd Helton (though I don't think he will ever even be as good as Helton is/was).

Extra innings:

Holliday's basically a Pat Burrell clone that hits for a bit higher average, but with less power. Burrell's OBA .400; Holliday's .405. Burrell hit 30 HR and Holliday only hit 6 more...in almost 200 more at bats!!! What would Burrell have done had he played 81...err...82 home games at Coors? Speaking of home game 82...

Holliday drops a fairly routine fly ball that could've cost the Rockies the tie-breaker game and a playoff birth...and later should have been out at home on the last play of the game, again possibly costing the team a playoff berth, because he didn't slide the correct way. I rest my case.
What in the world are you thinkin! you're missing 3 canidates, how bout Chipper Jones, how bout Prince Fielder, and definitely how bout Jimmy Rollins. I can't believe you wouldn't put these three men up when they are all having fantastic seasons! This is coming from a thirteen year old who actually knows what he's talking about.


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